语言:简体中文
Botafogo v Caracas FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Botafogo (主队)
预测 82.28%1.22公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -1.76%
Kelly -11.00%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.19
博彩公司预测分布
79.58%81.81%82.34%83.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.131.141.1992.59%88.37%87.72%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
Caracas FC (客队)
预测 5.59%17.88公平赔率
EV +11.88%
优势 +0.594%
Kelly +0.625%
增长率 +0.074%
假设最高赔率为 20.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.61%5.66%5.56%6.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0016.6717.0020.007.69%6.00%5.88%5.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 12.13%8.24公平赔率
EV +13.89%
优势 +1.48%
Kelly +1.66%
增长率 +0.230%
假设最高赔率为 9.39
博彩公司预测分布
10.35%12.53%12.10%14.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.107.637.929.3916.39%13.10%12.63%10.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Botafogo (主队)：82.28%；Caracas FC (客队)：5.59%；平局：12.13%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.24。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.39，对应+13.89%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.79%EV -4.56%E -3.93%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 16.60I 6.02%NM 5.86%EV -7.14%E -0.430%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 9.39I 10.65%NM 10.35%EV +13.89%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.230% | 2.9% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.56%EV -3.74%E -3.19%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.37%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -9.50%E -8.63%K -94.95%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.23%EV -5.38%E -4.68%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 16.58I 6.03%NM 5.70%EV -7.25%E -0.437%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 7.84I 12.76%NM 12.06%EV -4.91%E -0.627%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -7.85%E -7.01%K -65.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.84%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.84%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.84%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.81%EV -11.14%E -10.32%K -139.26%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -7.03%E -6.22%K -54.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -27.28%E -2.10%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -9.50%E -8.63%K -94.95%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.05%EV -2.09%E -1.76%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -21.16%E -3.26%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.96%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV +11.88%E +0.594%K +0.625%G +0.074% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -22.38%E -3.50%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 79.58%EV -10.32%E -9.47%K -114.64%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.20%EV -21.68%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.22%EV -26.02%E -4.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.38% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 4.00% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.63% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.48% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.97% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.48% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.97% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.48% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.97% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.48% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.97% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |