赔率学院

Botafogo v Caracas FC

开赛时间： 2026-04-09 22:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Botafogo (主队)

预测 82.28%1.22公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -1.76%
Kelly -11.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
79.58%81.81%82.34%83.79%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.081.131.141.1992.59%88.37%87.72%84.03%MIN均值中位数MAX

Caracas FC (客队)

预测 5.59%17.88公平赔率
EV +11.88%
优势 +0.594%
Kelly +0.625%
增长率 +0.074%

假设最高赔率为 20.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.61%5.66%5.56%6.96%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
13.0016.6717.0020.007.69%6.00%5.88%5.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 12.13%8.24公平赔率
EV +13.89%
优势 +1.48%
Kelly +1.66%
增长率 +0.230%

假设最高赔率为 9.39

博彩公司预测分布
10.35%12.53%12.10%14.66%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.107.637.929.3916.39%13.10%12.63%10.65%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.79%EV -4.56%E -3.93%K -28.49%G +0.000%16.60I 6.02%NM 5.86%EV -7.14%E -0.430%K -0.457%G +0.000%9.39I 10.65%NM 10.35%EV +13.89%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.230%2.9%2026-04-09 21:50
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.56%EV -3.74%E -3.19%K -21.97%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.37%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 21:55
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 21:49
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 21:55
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 21:55
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 21:55
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -9.50%E -8.63%K -94.95%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.97%E -0.371%K -0.424%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 21:45
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 82.23%EV -5.38%E -4.68%K -35.87%G +0.000%16.58I 6.03%NM 5.70%EV -7.25%E -0.437%K -0.465%G +0.000%7.84I 12.76%NM 12.06%EV -4.91%E -0.627%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 21:50
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 21:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -7.85%E -7.01%K -65.41%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.84%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.84%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 21:24
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -8.67%E -7.81%K -78.84%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 21:25
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 82.81%EV -11.14%E -10.32%K -139.26%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -4.90%E -0.288%K -0.306%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -9.04%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 21:45
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -7.03%E -6.22%K -54.05%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -27.28%E -2.10%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-09 21:45
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -9.50%E -8.63%K -94.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -16.09%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -15.10%E -2.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 21:45
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.05%EV -2.09%E -1.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +0.696%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -21.16%E -3.26%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 21:45
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.96%EV -6.20%E -5.44%K -44.31%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV +11.88%E +0.594%K +0.625%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -22.38%E -3.50%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 79.58%EV -10.32%E -9.47%K -114.64%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.20%EV -21.68%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.22%EV -26.02%E -4.26%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-09 21:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 85.38%25.00I 4.00%NM 4.00%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.63%0.1%2026-04-09 21:55
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.48%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.97%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%0.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.48%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.97%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%0.8%2026-04-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.48%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.97%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%0.8%2026-04-09 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.48%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.97%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%0.8%2026-04-09 21:50