La scuola delle quote

Blooming v River Plate

Inizio: 2026-04-09 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Blooming (Casa)

Previsione 12.95%7.72quota equa
EV +6.16%
Vantaggio +0.751%
Kelly +0.856%
Crescita +0.053%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.61%12.90%13.39%14.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.107.107.008.2016.39%14.09%14.29%12.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

River Plate (Trasferta)

Previsione 67.49%1.48quota equa
EV -0.121%
Vantaggio -0.082%
Kelly -0.252%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.99%67.35%66.95%69.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.371.371.4875.19%72.73%72.99%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.57%5.11quota equa
EV +2.73%
Vantaggio +0.520%
Kelly +0.643%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.42%19.75%19.66%21.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.254.714.785.2523.53%21.23%20.94%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.61%EV +6.16%E +0.751%K +0.856%G +0.053%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -4.98%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:19
Pinnacle7.85I 12.74%NM 12.04%EV +1.63%E +0.208%K +0.238%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.01%EV -7.54%E -5.51%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.95%EV -2.36%E -0.472%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 00:10
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.17%E -2.94%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV +2.73%E +0.520%K +0.643%G +0.018%2.8%2026-04-09 00:00
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.90%EV -7.54%E -5.51%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 23:35
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 23:34
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 23:34
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 23:34
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -9.57%E -7.14%K -28.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 23:34
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.95%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-09 00:14
1xBet7.26I 13.77%NM 13.40%EV -6.01%E -0.828%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.76%EV -0.121%E -0.082%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.84%EV -8.62%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-09 00:20
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.88%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.07%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 00:14
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:00
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:00
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 23:59
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-09 00:14
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.95%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 00:14
NordicBet6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -10.67%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -12.92%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 00:14
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:14
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:19
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:19
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:19
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 00:20
Unibet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.24%EV -21.03%E -3.45%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.32%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.44%EV -16.84%E -3.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-09 00:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.1%2026-04-09 00:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.66%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%1.2%2026-04-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52%1.5%2026-04-09 00:20
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%2.3%2026-04-09 00:19