L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Blooming v River Plate
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Blooming (Local)
Prévision 12.95%7.72cote équitable
EV +6.16%
Avantage +0.751%
Kelly +0.856%
Croissance +0.053%
avec la cote maximale 8.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.61%12.90%13.39%14.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.107.107.008.2016.39%14.09%14.29%12.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
River Plate (Visiteur)
Prévision 67.49%1.48cote équitable
EV -0.121%
Avantage -0.082%
Kelly -0.252%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.99%67.35%66.95%69.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.371.371.4875.19%72.73%72.99%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.57%5.11cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +0.520%
Kelly +0.643%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.42%19.75%19.66%21.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.714.785.2523.53%21.23%20.94%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.61%EV +6.16%E +0.751%K +0.856%G +0.053% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -4.98%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 23:19 |
| Pinnacle | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.04%EV +1.63%E +0.208%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.01%EV -7.54%E -5.51%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.95%EV -2.36%E -0.472%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 00:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%EV -4.17%E -2.94%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.53%EV +2.73%E +0.520%K +0.643%G +0.018% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.90%EV -7.54%E -5.51%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 23:35 |
| Casumo | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 23:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -9.57%E -7.14%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 23:34 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -2.90%E -0.387%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.95%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 7.26I 13.77%NM 13.40%EV -6.01%E -0.828%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.76%EV -0.121%E -0.082%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.84%EV -8.62%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.88%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.07%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 23:59 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -8.22%E -6.04%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| Paddy Power | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -9.37%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.95%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| NordicBet | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -10.67%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -4.85%E -3.44%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -12.92%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:14 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.85%E -2.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.52%E -3.94%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.24%EV -21.03%E -3.45%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.32%EV -10.24%E -7.70%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.44%EV -16.84%E -3.96%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.22% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 00:19 |