Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.73
assuming max odds 4.91
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blooming (Local): 56.13%; C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Visit): 20.83%; Draw: 23.04%. For C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.76%EV +2.28%E +0.464%K +0.583%G +0.013% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.14%EV -7.37%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -7.95%E -4.85%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.21%EV -3.97%E -0.861%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.21%EV -13.56%E -8.81%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV +0.232%E +0.053%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.21%EV -13.56%E -8.81%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV +0.232%E +0.053%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.21%EV -13.56%E -8.81%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV +0.232%E +0.053%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.22%E -0.768%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.30%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.81%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -8.34%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -8.34%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.34%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -9.80%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.51%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.59%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |