L’École des cotes

Blooming v C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

23 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Blooming (Local)

Prévision 56.13%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.01%56.06%55.98%59.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.621.641.7364.94%61.76%60.98%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.83%4.80cote équitable
EV +2.28%
Avantage +0.464%
Kelly +0.583%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.76%20.77%20.99%21.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.534.504.9123.81%22.09%22.22%20.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.04%4.34cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.315%
Kelly +0.407%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.93%23.17%23.03%24.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.104.054.4026.67%24.37%24.69%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.76%EV +2.28%E +0.464%K +0.583%G +0.013%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.14%EV -7.37%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:55
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -7.95%E -4.85%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.21%EV -3.97%E -0.861%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 21:50
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006%8.6%2026-03-04 21:05
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006%8.6%2026-03-04 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006%8.6%2026-03-04 21:05
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006%8.6%2026-03-04 21:05
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006%8.6%2026-03-04 21:05
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -12.44%E -7.98%K -22.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.407%G +0.006%8.6%2026-03-04 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.21%EV -13.56%E -8.81%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV +0.232%E +0.053%K +0.069%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:05
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.21%EV -13.56%E -8.81%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV +0.232%E +0.053%K +0.069%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.21%EV -13.56%E -8.81%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.18%E -0.908%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV +0.232%E +0.053%K +0.069%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 21:05
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.22%E -0.768%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 21:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 21:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 21:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.26%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 21:55
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.30%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 21:45
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.81%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -8.34%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -6.68%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -8.34%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.83%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 21:55
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.34%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.14%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 21:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -9.80%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.44%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 21:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.51%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.59%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-04 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-03-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-03-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-03-04 21:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-03-04 21:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.94%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%2.7%2026-03-04 21:55