The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Blooming v Carabobo FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 00:30 UTC

Final: Blooming 0–2 Carabobo FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blooming (Local)

Prediction 23.64%4.23fair odd
EV +1.88%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.567%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%23.68%23.74%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.754.3129.41%26.68%26.67%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carabobo FC (Visit)

Prediction 48.05%2.08fair odd
EV -0.047%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.043%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.13%47.86%48.20%48.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.952.0854.05%50.86%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%28.45%28.06%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.4133.33%30.81%30.77%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blooming (Local): 23.64%; Carabobo FC (Visit): 48.05%; Draw: 28.31%. For Blooming (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.31I 23.20%NM 22.04%EV +1.88%E +0.435%K +0.567%G +0.011%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.46%EV -5.81%E -2.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -8.85%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Pinnacle🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.32%EV -3.56%E -0.873%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 00:20
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 00:19
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 00:19
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:19
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.70%E -4.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -1.49%E -0.726%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -11.10%E -6.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 00:19
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -8.70%E -4.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 00:20
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -11.10%E -6.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -11.10%E -6.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.07%E -5.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-22 00:20
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.54%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.74%E -4.03%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-05-22 00:20