La scuola delle quote

Blooming v Carabobo FC

Inizio: 2026-05-22 00:30 UTC

Finale: Blooming 0–2 Carabobo FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Blooming (Casa)

Previsione 23.64%4.23quota equa
EV +1.88%
Vantaggio +0.435%
Kelly +0.567%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.04%23.68%23.74%26.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.753.754.3129.41%26.68%26.67%23.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carabobo FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.05%2.08quota equa
EV -0.047%
Vantaggio -0.023%
Kelly -0.043%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.13%47.86%48.20%48.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.971.952.0854.05%50.86%51.28%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.31%3.53quota equa
EV -3.47%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.40%28.45%28.06%29.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.253.4133.33%30.81%30.77%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet4.31I 23.20%NM 22.04%EV +1.88%E +0.435%K +0.567%G +0.011%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.46%EV -5.81%E -2.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -8.85%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Pinnacle4.08I 24.51%NM 23.32%EV -3.56%E -0.873%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 00:20
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 00:19
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 00:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 00:19
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -8.70%E -4.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 00:19
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.82%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 00:20
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -1.49%E -0.726%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -11.10%E -6.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 00:19
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -8.70%E -4.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 00:20
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 00:20
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -11.10%E -6.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -11.10%E -6.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.07%E -5.02%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-22 00:20
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.54%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.74%E -4.03%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -0.047%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 00:20
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -19.63%E -5.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-22 00:20
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-05-22 00:20