La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Atlético Nacional S.A v Millonarios
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Atlético Nacional S.A (Casa)
Previsione 60.04%1.67quota equa
EV -4.54%
Vantaggio -2.86%
Kelly -7.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.81%59.95%60.04%63.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.521.531.5969.44%65.71%65.36%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Millonarios (Trasferta)
Previsione 14.78%6.77quota equa
EV +4.03%
Vantaggio +0.573%
Kelly +0.668%
Crescita +0.027%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.44%14.77%14.78%16.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.446.507.0418.18%15.54%15.38%14.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 25.18%3.97quota equa
EV +3.26%
Vantaggio +0.794%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.034%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.25%25.29%25.18%26.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.733.794.1030.30%26.83%26.39%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.13%EV -9.34%E -6.19%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.62%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV +3.26%E +0.794%K +1.05%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.738%E +0.184%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.738%E +0.184%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.738%E +0.184%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.738%E +0.184%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.87%EV -12.34%E -8.46%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -0.252%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.78%E -0.457%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -12.94%E -8.93%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.252%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -13.55%E -9.41%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -0.252%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -13.55%E -9.41%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -0.252%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.86%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.04I 14.20%NM 13.74%EV +4.03%E +0.573%K +0.668%G +0.027% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.40%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.95%E -0.607%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.34%E -4.06%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.44%EV -3.21%E -0.490%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.95%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.96%EV -6.90%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.40%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:10 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -18.72%E -3.40%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 23:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -5.42%E -0.848%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.60%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.81%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -15.03%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.89%E -5.12%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.03% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.03% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.98% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |