L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Atlético Nacional S.A v Millonarios
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atlético Nacional S.A (Local)
Prévision 60.04%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -2.86%
Kelly -7.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.81%59.95%60.04%63.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.531.5969.44%65.71%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Millonarios (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.78%6.77cote équitable
EV +4.03%
Avantage +0.573%
Kelly +0.668%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 7.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.44%14.77%14.78%16.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.446.507.0418.18%15.54%15.38%14.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.18%3.97cote équitable
EV +3.26%
Avantage +0.794%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.034%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.25%25.29%25.18%26.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.794.1030.30%26.83%26.39%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.13%EV -9.34%E -6.19%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.62%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV +3.26%E +0.794%K +1.05%G +0.034% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.738%E +0.184%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.738%E +0.184%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.738%E +0.184%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.44%E +0.492%K +0.574%G +0.020% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.738%E +0.184%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.87%EV -12.34%E -8.46%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -0.252%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.78%E -0.457%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -12.94%E -8.93%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -0.252%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -13.55%E -9.41%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -0.252%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -13.55%E -9.41%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -0.252%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.86%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.04I 14.20%NM 13.74%EV +4.03%E +0.573%K +0.668%G +0.027% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.40%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.95%E -0.607%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.34%E -4.06%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.44%EV -3.21%E -0.490%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.95%EV -4.55%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.64%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.96%EV -6.90%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.40%EV -6.57%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:10 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -18.72%E -3.40%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 23:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -5.42%E -0.848%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.60%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -11.34%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.81%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -15.03%E -2.61%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.89%E -5.12%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.03% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.03% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.98% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |