La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alianza Atlético v Deportivo Garcilaso
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Alianza Atlético (Casa)
Previsione 42.95%2.33quota equa
EV -2.49%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.42%42.92%42.94%46.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.102.102.2751.28%47.71%47.51%44.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Deportivo Garcilaso (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.87%3.87quota equa
EV +3.49%
Vantaggio +0.873%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescita +0.041%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.60%25.73%25.94%26.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.773.814.0028.57%26.56%26.25%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.17%3.21quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.573%
Kelly -0.840%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.71%31.34%31.12%32.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.013.003.1535.71%33.23%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -10.66%E -5.12%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV +3.49%E +0.873%K +1.16%G +0.041% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -11.94%E -5.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV +2.20%E +0.556%K +0.745%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -11.94%E -5.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV +2.20%E +0.556%K +0.745%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -11.94%E -5.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV +2.20%E +0.556%K +0.745%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -11.94%E -5.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV +2.20%E +0.556%K +0.745%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.77%EV +1.42%E +0.363%K +0.487%G +0.007% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.47%EV -6.79%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -14.09%E -7.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.99%EV -14.95%E -7.55%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.12%EV -15.38%E -7.81%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.12%EV -15.38%E -7.81%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -8.51%E -3.99%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.67%EV -1.17%E -0.305%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.10%EV -5.55%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -14.09%E -7.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -1.68%E -0.443%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 01:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -16.24%E -8.33%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -2.98%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 01:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.15%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |