L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alianza Atlético v Deportivo Garcilaso
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alianza Atlético (Local)
Prévision 42.95%2.33cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.42%42.92%42.94%46.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.102.102.2751.28%47.71%47.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Deportivo Garcilaso (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.87%3.87cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +0.873%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%25.73%25.94%26.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.773.814.0028.57%26.56%26.25%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.17%3.21cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.573%
Kelly -0.840%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.71%31.34%31.12%32.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.1535.71%33.23%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (22 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -10.66%E -5.12%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV +3.49%E +0.873%K +1.16%G +0.041% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -11.94%E -5.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV +2.20%E +0.556%K +0.745%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -11.94%E -5.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV +2.20%E +0.556%K +0.745%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -11.94%E -5.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV +2.20%E +0.556%K +0.745%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -11.94%E -5.83%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV +2.20%E +0.556%K +0.745%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.77%EV +1.42%E +0.363%K +0.487%G +0.007% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.47%EV -6.79%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -14.09%E -7.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.99%EV -14.95%E -7.55%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.12%EV -15.38%E -7.81%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.12%EV -15.38%E -7.81%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -8.51%E -3.99%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.67%EV -1.17%E -0.305%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.10%EV -5.55%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -14.09%E -7.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -1.68%E -0.443%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 01:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -16.24%E -8.33%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -2.98%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -6.48%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 01:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.15%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.10%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |