Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCV FC v Rosario Central

Kickoff: 2026-04-29 00:00 UTC

Final: UCV FC 0–3 Rosario Central

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCV FC (Local)

Prediction 19.34%5.17fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.453%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 5.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.87%19.27%19.58%20.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.784.805.2723.53%20.92%20.83%18.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosario Central (Visit)

Prediction 53.99%1.85fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.53%54.20%53.82%56.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.711.8362.11%58.29%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.393%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.32%26.53%26.60%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.453.7132.26%28.94%28.99%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCV FC (Local): 19.34%; Rosario Central (Visit): 53.99%; Draw: 26.67%. For UCV FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV +1.93%E +0.367%K +0.453%G +0.009%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -10.38%E -6.25%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.39%EV -1.06%E -0.287%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:59
Suprabets🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -1.36%E -0.266%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -12.00%E -7.36%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.65%EV -4.53%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 18:00
GTbets🎯5.07I 19.72%NM 18.46%EV -1.94%E -0.382%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.15%EV -1.20%E -0.654%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.15%EV -1.20%E -0.654%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -7.14%E -4.15%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.22%E -4.83%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:10
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -10.92%E -6.62%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:59
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:49
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.26%E -0.860%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -9.30%E -5.53%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.26%E -0.860%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -9.30%E -5.53%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.50%EV -4.98%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:11
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.50%EV -4.98%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:49
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -3.90%E -2.19%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 09:29
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:29
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:29
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -4.98%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 09:30
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -3.90%E -2.19%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.60%E -3.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.52%E -3.15%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 00:44
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -9.09%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -9.09%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -9.09%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 09:29
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.66%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.85%EV -6.40%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.66%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.85%EV -6.40%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Betclic (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -11.99%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.84%EV -10.38%E -6.25%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.13%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 18:04
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.52%E -3.15%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.52%E -3.15%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:05
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.60%E -3.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -12.54%E -7.74%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -17.33%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -16.83%E -3.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -10.38%E -6.25%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.13%EV -17.80%E -4.19%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.14%EV -13.07%E -8.12%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.73%EV -14.67%E -4.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.