L’École des cotes

UCV FC v Rosario Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-29 00:00 UTC

Score final : UCV FC 0–3 Rosario Central

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

UCV FC (Local)

Prévision 19.34%5.17cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.367%
Kelly +0.453%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.87%19.27%19.58%20.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.784.805.2723.53%20.92%20.83%18.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rosario Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.99%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.654%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.53%54.20%53.82%56.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.721.711.8362.11%58.29%58.48%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.67%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.287%
Kelly -0.393%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.32%26.53%26.60%27.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.453.7132.26%28.94%28.99%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV +1.93%E +0.367%K +0.453%G +0.009%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -10.38%E -6.25%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.39%EV -1.06%E -0.287%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:59
Suprabets5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -1.36%E -0.266%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -12.00%E -7.36%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.65%EV -4.53%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 18:00
GTbets5.07I 19.72%NM 18.46%EV -1.94%E -0.382%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:05
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.15%EV -1.20%E -0.654%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 09:29
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.15%EV -1.20%E -0.654%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 09:30
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -7.14%E -4.15%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.22%E -4.83%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:10
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -10.92%E -6.62%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.33%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:49
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.26%E -0.860%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -9.30%E -5.53%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.26%E -0.860%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -9.30%E -5.53%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Bovada4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.50%EV -4.98%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:11
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.50%EV -4.98%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:49
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -3.90%E -2.19%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 09:29
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:29
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:29
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:29
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -4.44%E -2.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -4.98%E -2.83%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 09:30
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -3.90%E -2.19%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:04
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -6.60%E -3.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 00:04
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.52%E -3.15%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 00:44
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -9.09%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 09:29
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -9.09%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 09:30
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -9.09%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 09:29
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.66%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.85%EV -6.40%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.66%EV -3.36%E -1.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.85%EV -6.40%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -11.99%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.84%EV -10.38%E -6.25%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.13%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 18:04
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.52%E -3.15%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.52%E -3.15%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:05
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -6.60%E -3.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -12.54%E -7.74%K -20.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -17.33%E -5.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -16.83%E -3.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -10.38%E -6.25%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.33%E -2.74%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 18:05
Unibet (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.13%EV -17.80%E -4.19%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.14%EV -13.07%E -8.12%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.73%EV -14.67%E -4.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 18:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.