语言:简体中文
UCV FC v Libertad Asuncion
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
UCV FC (主队)
预测 29.35%3.41公平赔率
EV +1.25%
优势 +0.362%
Kelly +0.510%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 3.45
博彩公司预测分布
27.60%29.13%29.48%30.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.163.153.4534.48%31.60%31.75%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
Libertad Asuncion (客队)
预测 39.26%2.55公平赔率
EV +0.106%
优势 +0.041%
Kelly +0.068%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
38.16%39.42%39.06%41.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.372.382.5547.62%42.25%42.02%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.40%3.19公平赔率
EV -2.67%
优势 -0.863%
Kelly -1.27%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.41%31.45%31.45%32.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.06%33.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：UCV FC (主队)：29.35%；Libertad Asuncion (客队)：39.26%；平局：31.40%。 对于“UCV FC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.41。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.45，对应+1.25%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.62%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.62%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -0.218%E -0.064%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.44%EV -4.87%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.83%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -9.32%E -4.03%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 21:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.15%E -0.955%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.15%E -0.955%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.24%EV -3.74%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.99%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV +0.106%E +0.041%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -2.67%E -0.863%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV +0.106%E +0.041%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -2.67%E -0.863%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -8.14%E -3.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -17.56%E -8.36%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.37%EV -11.37%E -3.77%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -11.96%E -3.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.63%E -6.20%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-09 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-09 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -9.90%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -9.90%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-09 21:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |