Idioma:Español
UCV FC v Libertad Asuncion
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
UCV FC (Local)
Predicción 29.35%3.41momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.362%
Kelly +0.510%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.60%29.13%29.48%30.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.153.4534.48%31.60%31.75%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Libertad Asuncion (Visitante)
Predicción 39.26%2.55momio equitativo
EV +0.106%
Ventaja +0.041%
Kelly +0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.16%39.42%39.06%41.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.372.382.5547.62%42.25%42.02%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.40%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -0.863%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.41%31.45%31.45%32.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.06%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: UCV FC (Local): 29.35%; Libertad Asuncion (Visitante): 39.26%; Empate: 31.40%. Para UCV FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.41. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.25%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.62%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.62%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -0.218%E -0.064%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.44%EV -4.87%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.83%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -9.32%E -4.03%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 21:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.15%E -0.955%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.15%E -0.955%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.24%EV -3.74%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.99%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV +0.106%E +0.041%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -2.67%E -0.863%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV +0.106%E +0.041%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -2.67%E -0.863%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -8.14%E -3.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -17.56%E -8.36%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-09 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.37%EV -11.37%E -3.77%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -11.96%E -3.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.63%E -6.20%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-09 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-09 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-09 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -9.90%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-09 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -9.90%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-09 21:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 21:55 |