La scuola delle quote

UCV FC v Libertad Asuncion

Inizio: 2026-04-09 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

UCV FC (Casa)

Previsione 29.35%3.41quota equa
EV +1.25%
Vantaggio +0.362%
Kelly +0.510%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.60%29.13%29.48%30.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.163.153.4534.48%31.60%31.75%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Libertad Asuncion (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.26%2.55quota equa
EV +0.106%
Vantaggio +0.041%
Kelly +0.068%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.16%39.42%39.06%41.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.372.382.5547.62%42.25%42.02%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.40%3.19quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -0.863%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.41%31.45%31.45%32.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.06%33.90%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 21:44
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.62%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 21:44
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV +1.25%E +0.362%K +0.510%G +0.006%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.62%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 21:45
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -0.218%E -0.064%K -0.091%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.44%EV -4.87%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 21:50
Suprabets3.36I 29.76%NM 27.83%EV -1.39%E -0.414%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -9.32%E -4.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 21:53
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.15%E -0.955%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 21:55
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.15%E -0.955%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 21:55
GTbets3.28I 30.49%NM 29.24%EV -3.74%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.99%EV -3.43%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -5.19%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 21:45
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV +0.106%E +0.041%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -2.67%E -0.863%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 21:54
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.09%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.36%EV +0.106%E +0.041%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.55%EV -2.67%E -0.863%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 21:55
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 21:45
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 21:44
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 21:55
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 21:50
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 21:45
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 21:40
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 21:40
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 21:40
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 21:55
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 21:45
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 21:54
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 21:54
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.56%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 21:50
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -4.24%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 21:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 21:49
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.04%EV -8.14%E -3.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -17.56%E -8.36%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-09 21:55
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 21:55
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 21:55
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.36%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 21:54
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-09 21:50
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 30.37%EV -11.37%E -3.77%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 21:49
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -11.96%E -3.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.63%E -6.20%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-09 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-09 21:35
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-09 21:35
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -9.90%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-09 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%EV -14.89%E -5.14%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -9.90%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-09 21:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-04-09 21:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%2.1%2026-04-09 21:55