Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosario Central v UCV FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 22:00 UTC

Final: Rosario Central 4–0 UCV FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosario Central (Local)

Prediction 81.29%1.23fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -12.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%81.45%81.20%83.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.2090.09%87.05%86.96%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCV FC (Visit)

Prediction 5.59%17.90fair odd
EV +9.81%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.526%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 19.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.82%5.61%5.48%7.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0016.4317.0019.658.33%6.09%5.88%5.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.12%7.62fair odd
EV +11.53%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.177%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.17%12.94%13.32%14.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.027.008.5016.67%14.24%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 81.29%; UCV FC (Visit): 5.59%; Draw: 13.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.62. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +11.53%E +1.36%K +1.54%G +0.177%5.4%2026-05-19 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -8.14%E -7.21%K -62.63%G +0.000%19.65I 5.09%NM 4.82%EV +9.81%E +0.499%K +0.526%G +0.052%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.45%EV +8.38%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.097%5.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Suprabets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.28%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +6.17%E +0.325%K +0.343%G +0.021%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV +3.66%E +0.463%K +0.530%G +0.019%7.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.89%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -10.59%E -0.662%K -0.706%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.18%EV +2.35%E +0.301%K +0.345%G +0.008%5.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.11%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.29%EV +1.69%E +0.218%K +0.251%G +0.004%5.0%2026-05-19 21:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +6.17%E +0.325%K +0.343%G +0.021%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +6.17%E +0.325%K +0.343%G +0.021%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 21:50
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.46%EV -8.14%E -7.21%K -62.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -27.35%E -2.10%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -4.87%E -0.672%K -0.779%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 18:40
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:50
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.55%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -9.77%E -8.80%K -88.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.38%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.06%EV +3.38%E +0.183%K +0.193%G +0.007%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -9.46%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.38%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.06%EV +3.38%E +0.183%K +0.193%G +0.007%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -9.46%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.41%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.35%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.11%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -11.43%E -1.69%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.02%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -11.43%E -1.69%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -8.14%E -7.21%K -62.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV -21.77%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -11.43%E -1.69%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 21:50
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -27.35%E -2.10%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -32.94%E -2.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -32.94%E -2.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -32.94%E -2.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -32.94%E -2.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.32%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.35%EV -21.77%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.33%EV -18.65%E -3.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -8.14%E -7.21%K -62.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.27%E -3.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.84%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%0.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.84%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%0.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%0.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.58%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.27%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.15%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50