L’École des cotes

Rosario Central v UCV FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 22:00 UTC

Score final : Rosario Central 4–0 UCV FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Prévision 81.29%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -12.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.57%81.45%81.20%83.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.151.151.2090.09%87.05%86.96%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UCV FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.59%17.90cote équitable
EV +9.81%
Avantage +0.499%
Kelly +0.526%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 19.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.82%5.61%5.48%7.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.0016.4317.0019.658.33%6.09%5.88%5.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.12%7.62cote équitable
EV +11.53%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.54%
Croissance +0.177%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.17%12.94%13.32%14.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.027.008.5016.67%14.24%14.29%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +11.53%E +1.36%K +1.54%G +0.177%5.4%2026-05-19 21:50
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -8.14%E -7.21%K -62.63%G +0.000%19.65I 5.09%NM 4.82%EV +9.81%E +0.499%K +0.526%G +0.052%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.45%EV +8.38%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.097%5.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Suprabets1.12I 89.29%NM 83.28%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +6.17%E +0.325%K +0.343%G +0.021%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV +3.66%E +0.463%K +0.530%G +0.019%7.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.89%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -10.59%E -0.662%K -0.706%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.18%EV +2.35%E +0.301%K +0.345%G +0.008%5.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.11%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.29%EV +1.69%E +0.218%K +0.251%G +0.004%5.0%2026-05-19 21:49
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +6.17%E +0.325%K +0.343%G +0.021%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.76%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16%EV +6.17%E +0.325%K +0.343%G +0.021%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 21:50
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.03%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 21:50
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -1.59%E -0.212%K -0.244%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.46%EV -8.14%E -7.21%K -62.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -27.35%E -2.10%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -4.87%E -0.672%K -0.779%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:50
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 18:40
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -5.70%E -4.92%K -35.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:50
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:40
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 21:50
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.55%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 21:40
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 81.13%EV -9.77%E -8.80%K -88.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -8.15%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 21:40
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.38%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.06%EV +3.38%E +0.183%K +0.193%G +0.007%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -9.46%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.38%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.06%EV +3.38%E +0.183%K +0.193%G +0.007%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -9.46%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.41%EV -7.33%E -6.43%K -52.35%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.11%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 21:50
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -11.43%E -1.69%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.02%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +0.586%E +0.033%K +0.034%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -11.43%E -1.69%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -8.14%E -7.21%K -62.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV -21.77%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -11.43%E -1.69%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 21:50
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -4.89%E -4.18%K -28.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -27.35%E -2.10%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 21:50
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 21:50
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -5.00%E -0.294%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -32.94%E -2.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -32.94%E -2.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -32.94%E -2.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -6.52%E -5.67%K -43.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -32.94%E -2.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.71%E -2.26%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 79.32%EV -8.95%E -8.00%K -74.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.35%EV -21.77%E -1.55%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.33%EV -18.65%E -3.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -8.14%E -7.21%K -62.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -16.18%E -1.08%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.27%E -3.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 21:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.84%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%0.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.84%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%0.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%0.9%2026-05-19 21:50
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.58%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.27%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.15%1.9%2026-05-19 21:50