La scuola delle quote

Platense v Corinthians-SP

Inizio: 2026-04-10 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Platense (Casa)

Previsione 30.42%3.29quota equa
EV +0.396%
Vantaggio +0.120%
Kelly +0.172%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.24%30.42%30.68%31.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.083.103.3034.72%32.46%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Corinthians-SP (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.78%2.88quota equa
EV -0.874%
Vantaggio -0.307%
Kelly -0.472%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.56%34.75%34.65%36.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.652.702.8541.67%37.71%37.04%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 34.80%2.87quota equa
EV +0.212%
Vantaggio +0.074%
Kelly +0.113%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.72%34.83%34.67%36.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.682.702.8841.67%37.31%37.04%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%EV +0.396%E +0.120%K +0.172%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02%EV +0.212%E +0.074%K +0.113%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-09 23:55
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%EV +0.396%E +0.120%K +0.172%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02%EV +0.212%E +0.074%K +0.113%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-09 23:55
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.99%EV -8.53%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:40
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -0.874%E -0.307%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.66%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 23:50
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:54
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:55
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:53
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:55
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:53
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -10.26%E -3.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -4.66%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 23:54
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -11.31%E -4.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 23:55
GTbets3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.29%EV -7.13%E -2.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.51%EV -5.01%E -1.83%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -2.61%E -0.933%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:25
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -2.61%E -0.933%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:25
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 23:29
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 22:50
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -11.31%E -4.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 22:49
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -13.74%E -5.54%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-09 23:50
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.05%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 16:50
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.31%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -8.83%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 23:45
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.31%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -8.83%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 23:45
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 23:54
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 23:55
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 23:45
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -8.83%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 23:24
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 23:45
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.87%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 23:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:49
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:49
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:50
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.25%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 23:35
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -10.25%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -16.53%E -6.89%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-09 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -16.53%E -6.89%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -16.49%E -6.87%K -11.78%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-09 23:48
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%0.7%2026-04-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%0.7%2026-04-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%0.8%2026-04-09 23:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.82%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.53%2.0%2026-04-09 23:50