L’École des cotes

Platense v Corinthians-SP

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Platense (Local)

Prévision 30.42%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.396%
Avantage +0.120%
Kelly +0.172%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.24%30.42%30.68%31.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.083.103.3034.72%32.46%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Corinthians-SP (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.78%2.88cote équitable
EV -0.874%
Avantage -0.307%
Kelly -0.472%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.56%34.75%34.65%36.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.652.702.8541.67%37.71%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.80%2.87cote équitable
EV +0.212%
Avantage +0.074%
Kelly +0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.72%34.83%34.67%36.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.682.702.8841.67%37.31%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%EV +0.396%E +0.120%K +0.172%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02%EV +0.212%E +0.074%K +0.113%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-09 23:55
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%EV +0.396%E +0.120%K +0.172%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02%EV +0.212%E +0.074%K +0.113%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-09 23:55
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -2.65%E -0.827%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.99%EV -8.53%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:40
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -0.874%E -0.307%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.66%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 23:50
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 23:54
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:55
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:53
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:55
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 23:53
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -10.26%E -3.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.11%EV -4.66%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 23:54
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -11.31%E -4.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 23:55
GTbets3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.08%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.29%EV -7.13%E -2.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.51%EV -5.01%E -1.83%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 23:10
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -2.61%E -0.933%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:25
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -2.61%E -0.933%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:25
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 23:29
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 22:50
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -11.31%E -4.43%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 22:49
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.69%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -13.74%E -5.54%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-09 23:50
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.05%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 16:50
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.31%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -8.83%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 23:45
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.31%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -8.83%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 23:45
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 23:54
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-09 23:55
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 23:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 23:45
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -8.83%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 23:24
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 23:45
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.87%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 23:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:49
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:49
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.73%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-09 23:50
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.25%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 23:35
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -10.25%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -16.53%E -6.89%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-09 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -16.53%E -6.89%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -16.49%E -6.87%K -11.78%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-09 23:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%0.7%2026-04-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%0.7%2026-04-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%0.8%2026-04-09 23:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.82%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.53%2.0%2026-04-09 23:50