Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Platense v Coquimbo Unido

Kickoff: 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC

Final: Platense 1–1 Coquimbo Unido

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Platense (Local)

Prediction 43.91%2.28fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.93%43.87%46.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.2350.00%47.37%47.28%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 22.90%4.37fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.431%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.21%22.81%22.92%24.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.114.104.4527.03%24.31%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.18%3.01fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.20%33.26%33.21%34.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.792.9238.46%36.21%35.91%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 43.91%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 22.90%; Draw: 33.18%. For Coquimbo Unido (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.12%EV -9.54%E -4.63%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV +1.92%E +0.431%K +0.556%G +0.011%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.53%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.68%EV -2.07%E -0.929%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-12 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.68%EV -2.07%E -0.929%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-12 21:34
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 21:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.11%EV -7.42%E -2.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.11%EV -7.42%E -2.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 21:09
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -8.66%E -4.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 21:44
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.70%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.04%EV -0.143%E -0.033%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -1.52%E -0.353%K -0.460%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:45
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 21:34
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 21:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 21:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-12 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-12 21:45
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -7.34%E -3.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 19:34
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.46%EV -8.66%E -4.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 21:49
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.46%EV -8.66%E -4.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 21:25
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 21:53
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.44%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 21:34
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.44%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 21:34
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 21:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 20:59
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 20:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:45
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 21:45
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 21:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -9.53%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.73%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -9.53%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.73%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 21:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -9.53%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.73%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.65%EV -8.66%E -4.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.10%EV -9.99%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.25%EV -9.41%E -3.45%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-12 21:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-12 21:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-12 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -15.26%E -4.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-12 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-08-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-08-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-08-12 21:55
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.43%1.1%2026-08-12 21:55

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