Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Platense v Coquimbo Unido

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC

Score final : Platense 1–1 Coquimbo Unido

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Platense (Local)

Prévision 43.91%2.28cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%43.93%43.87%46.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.122.2350.00%47.37%47.28%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.90%4.37cote équitable
EV +1.92%
Avantage +0.431%
Kelly +0.556%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.21%22.81%22.92%24.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.114.104.4527.03%24.31%24.39%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 33.18%3.01cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.20%33.26%33.21%34.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.762.792.9238.46%36.21%35.91%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Platense (Local) : 43.91% ; Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur) : 22.90% ; Match nul : 33.18%. Pour Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.37. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.45, soit une espérance positive de +1.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.12%EV -9.54%E -4.63%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV +1.92%E +0.431%K +0.556%G +0.011%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.53%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.68%EV -2.07%E -0.929%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-12 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.68%EV -2.07%E -0.929%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-12 21:34
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 21:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.11%EV -7.42%E -2.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.11%EV -7.42%E -2.66%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 21:09
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -8.66%E -4.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV +0.774%E +0.176%K +0.228%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 21:44
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.70%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.04%EV -0.143%E -0.033%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -1.52%E -0.353%K -0.460%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:45
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 21:34
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 21:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 21:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-12 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -3.81%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-12 21:45
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -7.34%E -3.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 19:34
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.46%EV -8.66%E -4.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 21:49
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.46%EV -8.66%E -4.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.26%EV -7.75%E -2.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 21:25
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 21:53
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.44%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 21:34
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.44%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 21:34
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 21:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 20:59
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 20:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.43%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:45
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 21:45
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 21:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.06%E -4.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-12 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -9.53%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.73%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -9.53%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.73%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 21:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -9.53%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.17%EV -13.73%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.65%EV -8.66%E -4.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.10%EV -9.99%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.25%EV -9.41%E -3.45%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-12 21:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-12 21:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-12 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -15.26%E -4.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-12 20:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-08-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-08-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%0.6%2026-08-12 21:55
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.43%1.1%2026-08-12 21:55