The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Palmeiras-SP v Estudiantes La Plata

2026-11-28 20:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Palmeiras-SP (Local)

Prediction 50.69%1.97fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.45%50.76%50.42%52.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.831.831.9059.52%54.75%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes La Plata (Visit)

Prediction 20.61%4.85fair odd
EV +2.41%
Edge +0.485%
Kelly +0.608%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.06%20.47%20.82%22.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.414.384.9725.97%22.70%22.86%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.71%3.48fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%28.78%28.76%30.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.203.4435.71%31.59%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Palmeiras-SP (Local): 50.69%; Estudiantes La Plata (Visit): 20.61%; Draw: 28.71%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.85. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.97, producing a positive expected value of +2.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.92%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.06%EV +2.41%E +0.485%K +0.608%G +0.015%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.02%EV -2.97%E -0.879%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-10 20:15
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.73%EV -0.060%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%EV -3.83%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-12 04:30
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.89%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -2.12%E -0.446%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.90%EV -1.25%E -0.363%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 20:09
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -2.12%E -0.446%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -4.20%E -2.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -3.15%E -0.670%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.40%E -0.705%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-12 08:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -4.20%E -2.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -3.15%E -0.670%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.40%E -0.705%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-12 08:25
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -3.15%E -0.670%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.83%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-05 22:20
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.15%E -0.670%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-12 04:29
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.29%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -4.18%E -0.899%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-12 04:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.40%E -0.705%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-10 20:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -9.27%E -5.18%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.84%EV -4.12%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-10 20:04
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.57%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-12 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-11 23:59
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-12 08:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-10 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.79%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:20
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-11 23:59
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-11 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-12 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-11 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -4.71%E -2.50%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 01:08
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-12 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -7.24%E -3.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-12 08:25
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-12 03:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-12 00:18
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-12 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-12 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.78%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-12 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-03 21:09
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -4.71%E -2.50%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-12 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.85%EV -7.75%E -4.26%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -12.42%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -9.57%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-12 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.99%EV -8.26%E -4.56%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -12.42%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.57%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-12 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.99%EV -8.26%E -4.56%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -12.42%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.57%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-12 08:24
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-03 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.23%E -3.37%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-03 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.79%EV -9.78%E -5.49%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -15.51%E -3.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-12 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.98%EV -10.79%E -6.13%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.29%EV -16.55%E -4.09%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -16.75%E -5.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-01 01:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -8.76%E -4.87%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.58%E -4.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-01 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 49.24%EV -14.85%E -8.84%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.21%EV -19.64%E -5.03%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.55%EV -19.62%E -7.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-02 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.45%EV -10.79%E -6.13%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.15%EV -20.67%E -5.37%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.40%EV -16.75%E -5.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%17.3%2026-11-01 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%9.3%2026-11-12 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%9.3%2026-11-12 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%9.3%2026-11-12 13:55

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.