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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Palmeiras-SP v Estudiantes La Plata

2026-11-28 00:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palmeiras-SP (主队)

预测 50.25%1.99公平赔率
EV -5.03%
优势 -2.66%
Kelly -5.65%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.89

博彩公司预测分布
49.38%50.25%50.25%51.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.821.831.8960.61%54.89%54.64%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Estudiantes La Plata (客队)

预测 21.47%4.66公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -0.805%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.49

博彩公司预测分布
20.61%21.47%21.40%22.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.954.234.204.4925.32%23.65%23.81%22.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.29%3.54公平赔率
EV -2.70%
优势 -0.784%
Kelly -1.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.44

博彩公司预测分布
27.83%28.29%28.36%28.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.233.253.4433.33%30.95%30.77%29.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Palmeiras-SP (主队)：50.25%；Estudiantes La Plata (客队)：21.47%；平局：28.29%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.54。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.44，期望值为-2.70%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.75%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.36%EV -3.61%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -2.70%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.37%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 05:47
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.37%EV -5.03%E -2.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 05:47
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -5.53%E -2.94%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 04:45
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.69%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 05:47
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.04%E -3.23%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.69%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 05:46
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 04:45
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.84%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 05:47
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.04%E -3.81%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.84%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 05:47
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.80%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37%EV -6.62%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.83%EV -5.53%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 05:01
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 03:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -6.62%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.99%E -2.92%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 05:47
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.99%E -2.92%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 05:47
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -8.05%E -4.40%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.99%E -2.92%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 05:46
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.84%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 04:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.55%E -5.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.84%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 06:32
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.38%EV -10.06%E -5.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.13%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-23 05:46
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -11.56%E -6.57%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -14.13%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-23 04:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.73%EV -12.57%E -7.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.90%EV -15.21%E -3.85%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -13.73%E -4.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-23 04:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.18%EV -13.57%E -7.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -11.99%E -2.92%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-23 03:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 51.22%EV -17.09%E -10.36%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.61%EV -11.99%E -2.92%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.17%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-23 03:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-10-23 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-10-23 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-10-23 04:55