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Independiente Rivadavia v Fluminense-RJ
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Independiente Rivadavia (Хозяева)
Прогноз 38.36%2.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.255%
Преимущество -0.098%
Kelly -0.159%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.35%38.39%38.27%39.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.422.412.6044.44%41.33%41.58%38.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Fluminense-RJ (Гости)
Прогноз 29.39%3.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.070%
Преимущество -0.021%
Kelly -0.029%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.11%29.40%29.50%30.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.153.103.4034.48%31.78%32.26%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 32.25%3.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.97%
Преимущество -0.649%
Kelly -0.968%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.04
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.72%32.21%32.23%33.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.852.813.0437.04%35.04%35.59%32.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Independiente Rivadavia (Хозяева): 38.36%; Fluminense-RJ (Гости): 29.39%; Ничья: 32.25%. Для исхода «Fluminense-RJ (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.402. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.400, математическое ожидание — -0.070%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -0.255%E -0.098%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.52%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.02%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -0.255%E -0.098%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.52%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.02%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.35%EV -1.41%E -0.547%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -10.06%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -9.07%E -3.22%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.44%EV -5.63%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -7.12%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.63%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.06%EV -5.63%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.65%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -0.070%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.01%EV -2.94%E -0.977%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -0.364%E -0.107%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -5.52%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -0.364%E -0.107%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -5.52%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -10.36%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -10.36%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -7.54%E -3.13%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -1.97%E -0.649%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.13%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.13%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-18 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.77%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -13.68%E -6.08%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.71% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75% | 0.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |