Idioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Fluminense-RJ
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 38.36%2.61momio equitativo
EV -0.255%
Ventaja -0.098%
Kelly -0.159%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.35%38.39%38.27%39.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.412.6044.44%41.33%41.58%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fluminense-RJ (Visitante)
Predicción 29.39%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.070%
Ventaja -0.021%
Kelly -0.029%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.11%29.40%29.50%30.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.103.4034.48%31.78%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.25%3.10momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -0.968%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.72%32.21%32.23%33.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.852.813.0437.04%35.04%35.59%32.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 38.36%; Fluminense-RJ (Visitante): 29.39%; Empate: 32.25%. Para Fluminense-RJ (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.402. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.400, con un valor esperado de -0.070%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -0.255%E -0.098%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.52%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.02%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -0.255%E -0.098%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.52%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.02%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.35%EV -1.41%E -0.547%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -10.06%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -9.07%E -3.22%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.44%EV -5.63%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV -7.12%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.63%EV -3.59%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.06%EV -5.63%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.65%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -0.070%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.01%EV -2.94%E -0.977%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.36%E -3.40%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -0.364%E -0.107%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -5.52%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.11%EV -0.364%E -0.107%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.52%EV -5.52%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -10.36%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -10.36%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -7.54%E -3.13%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -1.97%E -0.649%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.01%E -0.912%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.95%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.13%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.42%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.13%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-18 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.48%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -13.30%E -4.51%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.77%E -5.09%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.87%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -13.68%E -6.08%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.83%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.71% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75% | 0.1% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |