Langue:Français
Independiente Medellín v Cusco FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Medellín (Local)
Prévision 68.04%1.47cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -8.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.86%68.21%68.01%70.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.361.361.4276.92%73.46%73.53%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cusco FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.98%8.35cote équitable
EV +7.82%
Avantage +0.869%
Kelly +0.978%
Croissance +0.076%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.51%11.94%11.99%13.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.697.769.0015.38%13.01%12.89%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 19.98%5.00cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +0.566%
Kelly +0.703%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 5.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.45%19.85%20.00%21.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.684.755.1525.00%21.35%21.05%19.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Independiente Medellín (Local) : 68.04% ; Cusco FC (Visiteur) : 11.98% ; Match nul : 19.98%. Pour Cusco FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.35. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.82%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +7.82%E +0.869%K +0.978%G +0.076% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -0.081%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.62%EV +7.22%E +0.807%K +0.909%G +0.066% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV +2.92%E +0.566%K +0.703%G +0.020% | 5.2% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.62%EV +7.22%E +0.807%K +0.909%G +0.066% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV +2.92%E +0.566%K +0.703%G +0.020% | 5.2% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.01%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.94%EV +4.23%E +0.486%K +0.549%G +0.023% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -0.081%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.53I 11.72%NM 11.20%EV +2.19%E +0.257%K +0.291%G +0.006% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.55%EV -7.08%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +1.83%E +0.216%K +0.244%G +0.004% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV +1.92%E +0.376%K +0.468%G +0.009% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +1.83%E +0.216%K +0.244%G +0.004% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV +1.92%E +0.376%K +0.468%G +0.009% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.23%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.54%EV -2.96%E -0.365%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.51%E -7.15%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.07%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.07%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -7.08%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.72%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.28%EV -8.83%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.00%EV -1.68%E -0.341%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.76%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 01:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.07%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.88%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.99%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -11.55%E -8.89%K -38.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.31%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.18%EV -13.14%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.51%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.17%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.78%EV -13.14%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.74%E -1.91%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.85%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.23%EV -13.98%E -1.95%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.92%EV +0.319%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -6.11%E -4.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -16.14%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -11.55%E -8.89%K -38.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -16.14%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -20.06%E -5.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -19.13%E -2.83%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -4.08%E -0.850%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |