مدرسة الاحتمالات

Independiente Medellín v Cusco FC

البداية: 2026-05-01 02:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Independiente Medellín 1–0 Cusco FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Independiente Medellín (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.04%1.47السعر العادل
EV -3.39%
الأفضلية -2.39%
Kelly -8.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.86%68.21%68.01%70.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.361.361.4276.92%73.46%73.53%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cusco FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.98%8.35السعر العادل
EV +7.82%
الأفضلية +0.869%
Kelly +0.978%
النمو +0.076%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.51%11.94%11.99%13.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.697.769.0015.38%13.01%12.89%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.98%5.00السعر العادل
EV +2.92%
الأفضلية +0.566%
Kelly +0.703%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.45%19.85%20.00%21.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.684.755.1525.00%21.35%21.05%19.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +7.82%E +0.869%K +0.978%G +0.076%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -0.081%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 01:30
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.62%EV +7.22%E +0.807%K +0.909%G +0.066%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV +2.92%E +0.566%K +0.703%G +0.020%5.2%2026-04-30 23:59
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.62%EV +7.22%E +0.807%K +0.909%G +0.066%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV +2.92%E +0.566%K +0.703%G +0.020%5.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.01%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.94%EV +4.23%E +0.486%K +0.549%G +0.023%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -0.081%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 00:04
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.53I 11.72%NM 11.20%EV +2.19%E +0.257%K +0.291%G +0.006%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.55%EV -7.08%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:49
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +1.83%E +0.216%K +0.244%G +0.004%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV +1.92%E +0.376%K +0.468%G +0.009%2.3%2026-05-01 01:55
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +1.83%E +0.216%K +0.244%G +0.004%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV +1.92%E +0.376%K +0.468%G +0.009%2.3%2026-05-01 01:55
Suprabets1.39I 71.94%NM 67.23%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.54%EV -2.96%E -0.365%K -0.417%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 01:53
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 01:49
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 01:54
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 01:55
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 01:55
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 01:55
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 01:39
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 01:39
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.51%E -7.15%K -28.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 01:39
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 01:55
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 01:54
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.07%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 01:54
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.07%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 01:35
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -7.08%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 01:55
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.72%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.28%EV -8.83%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.00%EV -1.68%E -0.341%K -0.429%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 01:50
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 67.76%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:48
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 01:34
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 01:54
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.07%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 01:39
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 01:55
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 01:55
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 01:55
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 01:55
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.88%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.99%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 01:55
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -11.55%E -8.89%K -38.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-01 01:39
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.31%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.18%EV -13.14%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.51%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 01:55
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.17%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.78%EV -13.14%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 01:55
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.74%E -1.91%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 01:55
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.85%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.23%EV -13.98%E -1.95%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.92%EV +0.319%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 01:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -6.11%E -4.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -16.14%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -11.55%E -8.89%K -38.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -16.14%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -20.06%E -5.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-01 01:55
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -19.13%E -2.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -4.08%E -0.850%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 01:50
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 01:49
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 01:49
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 01:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-05-01 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-05-01 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-05-01 01:54
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%2.1%2026-05-01 01:55