La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente Medellín v Cusco FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Medellín (Local)
Predicción 68.04%1.47momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -8.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.86%68.21%68.01%70.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4276.92%73.46%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cusco FC (Visitante)
Predicción 11.98%8.35momio equitativo
EV +7.82%
Ventaja +0.869%
Kelly +0.978%
Crecimiento +0.076%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.51%11.94%11.99%13.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.697.769.0015.38%13.01%12.89%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.98%5.00momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +0.566%
Kelly +0.703%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.45%19.85%20.00%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.684.755.1525.00%21.35%21.05%19.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +7.82%E +0.869%K +0.978%G +0.076% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -0.081%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.62%EV +7.22%E +0.807%K +0.909%G +0.066% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV +2.92%E +0.566%K +0.703%G +0.020% | 5.2% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.62%EV +7.22%E +0.807%K +0.909%G +0.066% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.45%EV +2.92%E +0.566%K +0.703%G +0.020% | 5.2% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.01%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.94%EV +4.23%E +0.486%K +0.549%G +0.023% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -0.081%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.53I 11.72%NM 11.20%EV +2.19%E +0.257%K +0.291%G +0.006% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.55%EV -7.08%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +1.83%E +0.216%K +0.244%G +0.004% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV +1.92%E +0.376%K +0.468%G +0.009% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.33%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.50%EV +1.83%E +0.216%K +0.244%G +0.004% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.17%EV +1.92%E +0.376%K +0.468%G +0.009% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Suprabets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.23%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.54%EV -2.96%E -0.365%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:53 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.51%E -7.15%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -4.16%E -0.520%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.07%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.07%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -5.36%E -0.678%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -7.08%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.72%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.28%EV -8.83%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.00%EV -1.68%E -0.341%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.76%EV -4.07%E -2.89%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 01:48 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -6.11%E -4.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.07%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.88%EV -8.83%E -6.59%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.99%EV -9.07%E -1.99%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -11.55%E -8.89%K -38.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -10.15%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-01 01:39 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.31%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.18%EV -13.14%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.51%EV -2.08%E -0.424%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.17%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.78%EV -13.14%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.74%E -1.91%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.85%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.23%EV -13.98%E -1.95%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.92%EV +0.319%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -6.11%E -4.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -16.14%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -11.55%E -8.89%K -38.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -16.14%E -2.31%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -20.06%E -5.02%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -8.15%E -6.04%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -19.13%E -2.83%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -4.08%E -0.850%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -7.47%E -5.49%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -10.19%E -7.72%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -22.13%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -12.07%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.20% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.93% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |