La scuola delle quote

Independiente Medellín v CA Juventud

Inizio: 2026-03-13 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Independiente Medellín (Casa)

Previsione 62.14%1.61quota equa
EV -3.68%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -6.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.57%62.34%61.74%67.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.471.481.5574.07%68.04%67.57%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CA Juventud (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.07%7.65quota equa
EV +17.62%
Vantaggio +1.96%
Kelly +2.20%
Crescita +0.388%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.45%13.05%13.04%15.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.357.009.0016.67%13.60%14.29%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.79%4.03quota equa
EV +5.37%
Vantaggio +1.26%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescita +0.089%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.13%24.61%25.22%26.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.833.804.2528.57%26.12%26.32%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.18%EV -12.38%E -8.78%K -30.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089%5.6%2026-03-12 23:39
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.34%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089%6.1%2026-03-12 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.34%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089%6.1%2026-03-12 20:50
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.34%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089%6.1%2026-03-12 20:50
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.34%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089%6.1%2026-03-12 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.16%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.13%E +0.983%K +1.29%G +0.053%6.3%2026-03-12 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -16.11%E -11.94%K -46.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV +11.09%E +1.30%K +1.48%G +0.164%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +1.65%E +0.402%K +0.531%G +0.009%10.2%2026-03-12 20:50
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -16.11%E -11.94%K -46.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV +11.09%E +1.30%K +1.48%G +0.164%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +1.65%E +0.402%K +0.531%G +0.009%10.2%2026-03-12 20:50
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.44%EV +7.95%E +0.962%K +1.09%G +0.087%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 00:04
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.91%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.58%EV +6.51%E +0.799%K +0.911%G +0.059%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.91%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.58%EV +6.51%E +0.799%K +0.911%G +0.059%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 00:15
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.68%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +4.55%E +0.569%K +0.650%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 00:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +4.55%E +0.569%K +0.650%G +0.030%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 00:14
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.23%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.21%EV +2.59%E +0.330%K +0.378%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 00:14
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -7.41%E -4.98%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -0.676%E -0.089%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -10.25%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 00:14
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -8.66%E -5.89%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -1.98%E -0.264%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 00:14
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.83%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.46I 13.40%NM 12.80%EV -2.51%E -0.336%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.36%EV -2.82%E -0.718%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:14
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.12%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.07%E -0.524%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.31%E -0.849%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 00:14
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 00:14
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 00:15
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.95%EV -9.28%E -6.35%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 00:15
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.52%E -7.31%K -23.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -11.78%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.31%E -0.849%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 00:15
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -3.68%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -15.05%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 00:15
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -3.68%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -16.36%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 00:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -3.68%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -16.36%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 00:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.67%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.93%EV -17.67%E -2.80%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-13 00:14
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.74%EV -9.28%E -6.35%K -20.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -18.97%E -3.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-13 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.78%EV -11.76%E -8.28%K -28.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -20.28%E -3.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -8.77%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-13 00:14
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -0.832%E -0.208%K -0.277%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -8.03%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 00:04
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -8.03%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -8.03%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 00:04
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -8.03%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.52%E -7.31%K -23.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-13 00:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.46%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-13 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.46%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-13 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.46%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-13 00:15
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.43%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-03-13 00:15