L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Independiente Medellín v CA Juventud
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Medellín (Local)
Prévision 62.14%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -6.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.57%62.34%61.74%67.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.471.481.5574.07%68.04%67.57%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
CA Juventud (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.07%7.65cote équitable
EV +17.62%
Avantage +1.96%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.388%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.45%13.05%13.04%15.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.357.009.0016.67%13.60%14.29%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV +5.37%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.089%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.13%24.61%25.22%26.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.833.804.2528.57%26.12%26.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.18%EV -12.38%E -8.78%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.34%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.34%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.34%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.34%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV +5.37%E +1.26%K +1.65%G +0.089% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.16%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +17.62%E +1.96%K +2.20%G +0.388% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV +4.13%E +0.983%K +1.29%G +0.053% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -16.11%E -11.94%K -46.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV +11.09%E +1.30%K +1.48%G +0.164% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +1.65%E +0.402%K +0.531%G +0.009% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -16.11%E -11.94%K -46.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV +11.09%E +1.30%K +1.48%G +0.164% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +1.65%E +0.402%K +0.531%G +0.009% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.44%EV +7.95%E +0.962%K +1.09%G +0.087% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.91%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.58%EV +6.51%E +0.799%K +0.911%G +0.059% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.91%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.58%EV +6.51%E +0.799%K +0.911%G +0.059% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.68%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +4.55%E +0.569%K +0.650%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +4.55%E +0.569%K +0.650%G +0.030% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.23%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.21%EV +2.59%E +0.330%K +0.378%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.20%EV -7.41%E -4.98%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -0.676%E -0.089%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -10.25%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -8.66%E -5.89%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -1.98%E -0.264%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| GTbets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.83%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 7.46I 13.40%NM 12.80%EV -2.51%E -0.336%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.36%EV -2.82%E -0.718%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.12%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.22%EV -2.07%E -0.524%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.31%E -0.849%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.95%EV -9.28%E -6.35%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.52%E -7.31%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -8.52%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -11.78%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.31%E -0.849%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -3.68%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -15.05%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -3.68%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -16.36%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -3.68%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -16.36%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.67%EV -13.01%E -9.29%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.93%EV -17.67%E -2.80%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.74%EV -9.28%E -6.35%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -18.97%E -3.06%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.78%EV -11.76%E -8.28%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -20.28%E -3.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -8.77%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -0.832%E -0.208%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -8.03%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -8.03%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -8.03%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -8.03%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.52%E -7.31%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -21.59%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.46% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.46% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.46% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.43% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |