Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Carabobo FC

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 57.17%1.75fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.24%57.09%57.05%58.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.621.7265.36%61.95%61.73%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carabobo FC (Visit)

Prediction 16.86%5.93fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.192%
Kelly +0.231%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.58%16.95%16.92%19.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.355.406.0021.28%18.67%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.97%3.85fair odd
EV +9.59%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +2.98%
Growth +0.285%

assuming max odds 4.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%25.97%26.03%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.563.604.2231.25%28.11%27.78%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 57.17%; Carabobo FC (Visit): 16.86%; Draw: 25.97%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.54%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.44%EV -11.15%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.03%EV +9.59%E +2.27%K +2.98%G +0.285%2.9%2026-02-24 21:54
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.99%EV -6.24%E -3.80%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%EV -5.59%E -0.998%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -1.32%E -0.348%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 21:53
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.12%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.97%EV -6.43%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.91%EV -1.84%E -0.487%K -0.662%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 21:54
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.74%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.86%EV -4.75%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -2.62%E -0.698%K -0.952%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 21:34
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.09%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.24%EV -1.71%E -0.294%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.66%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.56%EV -4.44%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.56%EV -4.44%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 21:45
Suprabets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.25%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 21:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +1.15%E +0.192%K +0.231%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -1.66%E -0.967%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -20.76%E -4.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 17:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 21:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.83%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.31%EV -3.74%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:55
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.48%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.38%EV -4.75%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.14%EV -8.07%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 21:15
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 21:55
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-24 21:54
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-24 21:44
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 21:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.39%EV -9.10%E -5.72%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 21:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.03%EV -11.95%E -7.76%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.68%EV -3.90%E -0.685%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-24 21:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.54%EV -11.95%E -7.76%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -14.02%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-24 21:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -12.53%E -8.19%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.26%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.32%EV -14.82%E -4.52%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-24 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.41%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -16.90%E -5.28%K -7.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-24 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-02-24 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.69%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-02-24 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-02-24 21:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.74%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-02-24 21:54