La escuela de los momios

Huachipato v Carabobo FC

Inicio: 2026-02-24 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Huachipato (Local)

Predicción 57.17%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.967%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.24%57.09%57.05%58.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.621.7265.36%61.95%61.73%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Carabobo FC (Visitante)

Predicción 16.86%5.93momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.192%
Kelly +0.231%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.58%16.95%16.92%19.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.355.406.0021.28%18.67%18.52%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.97%3.85momio equitativo
EV +9.59%
Ventaja +2.27%
Kelly +2.98%
Crecimiento +0.285%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.03%25.97%26.03%27.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.563.604.2231.25%28.11%27.78%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.54%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.44%EV -11.15%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.03%EV +9.59%E +2.27%K +2.98%G +0.285%2.9%2026-02-24 21:54
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.99%EV -6.24%E -3.80%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%EV -5.59%E -0.998%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -1.32%E -0.348%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 21:53
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.12%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.97%EV -6.43%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.91%EV -1.84%E -0.487%K -0.662%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 21:54
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.74%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.86%EV -4.75%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -2.62%E -0.698%K -0.952%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 21:34
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 58.09%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.24%EV -1.71%E -0.294%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.66%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.56%EV -4.44%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 21:45
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.56%EV -4.44%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 21:45
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -2.22%E -0.382%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.25%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 21:43
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 21:54
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 21:55
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +1.15%E +0.192%K +0.231%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 21:55
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -1.66%E -0.967%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -20.76%E -4.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 17:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 21:45
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.83%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.31%EV -3.74%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -3.06%E -0.532%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 21:44
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:55
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.94%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -8.96%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 21:54
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 21:54
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.48%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.38%EV -4.75%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.14%EV -8.07%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 21:54
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 21:15
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-24 21:54
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 21:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.49%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -17.39%E -3.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-24 21:54
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-24 21:44
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 21:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 21:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 21:44
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.39%EV -9.10%E -5.72%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -12.33%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 21:54
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.03%EV -11.95%E -7.76%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.68%EV -3.90%E -0.685%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-24 21:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.54%EV -11.95%E -7.76%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -14.02%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-24 21:54
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -12.53%E -8.19%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.26%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.32%EV -14.82%E -4.52%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-24 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.41%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -16.90%E -5.28%K -7.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-24 21:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-02-24 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.69%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-02-24 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-02-24 21:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.74%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-02-24 21:54