A Escola das Odds

Deportivo La Guaira v Fluminense-RJ

Início: 2026-04-07 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Deportivo La Guaira (Local)

Previsão 15.21%6.57odd justa
EV +14.09%
Vantagem +1.88%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescimento +0.305%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.94%15.11%15.27%16.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.306.366.387.5018.87%15.71%15.69%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fluminense-RJ (Visitante)

Previsão 59.75%1.67odd justa
EV -4.40%
Vantagem -2.75%
Kelly -7.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.27%59.85%59.67%62.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.17%65.36%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.04%3.99odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -0.733%
Kelly -0.988%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.39%25.04%25.06%26.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.663.703.8830.30%27.35%27.03%25.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +14.09%E +1.88%K +2.17%G +0.305%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.84%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 21:54
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +14.09%E +1.88%K +2.17%G +0.305%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.84%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 21:54
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.38%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:19
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -9.78%E -6.48%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 21:48
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 21:54
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 21:55
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 21:54
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.78%E -6.48%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 21:54
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 21:54
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 21:55
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 21:54
1xBet6.71I 14.90%NM 13.93%EV +2.07%E +0.309%K +0.363%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.31%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.75%EV -9.10%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 21:50
BetUS6.54I 15.29%NM 14.48%EV -0.513%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.41%EV -2.84%E -0.733%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 21:55
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 21:54
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 21:49
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 21:54
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 21:54
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 21:40
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-07 21:04
Suprabets6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 21:51
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 21:55
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 21:54
LowVig.ag6.35I 15.75%NM 14.98%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.19%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 18:00
BetOnline.ag6.35I 15.75%NM 14.98%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.19%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 18:00
Marathon Bet6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 21:49
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -4.92%E -0.788%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.43%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 21:52
GTbets6.24I 16.03%NM 14.94%EV -5.08%E -0.814%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.74%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.32%EV -7.85%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 20:44
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 21:35
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 20:40
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 21:54
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 21:35
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 21:55
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 21:55
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.65%EV -13.96%E -9.70%K -31.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -17.37%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-07 21:50
Pinnacle5.94I 16.84%NM 15.94%EV -9.64%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.00%E -3.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.52%EV -3.35%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 21:45
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 21:54
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 21:54
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 21:55
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.13%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 21:34
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -14.11%E -4.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 21:34
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.55%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.84%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-07 21:34
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%EV -19.38%E -3.66%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.63%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-07 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.08%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-07 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-07 21:55
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-04-07 21:40