L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Deportivo La Guaira v Fluminense-RJ
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Deportivo La Guaira (Local)
Prévision 15.21%6.57cote équitable
EV +14.09%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +2.17%
Croissance +0.305%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.94%15.11%15.27%16.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.306.366.387.5018.87%15.71%15.69%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fluminense-RJ (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.75%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -7.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.27%59.85%59.67%62.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.17%65.36%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.04%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -0.733%
Kelly -0.988%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%25.04%25.06%26.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.663.703.8830.30%27.35%27.03%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +14.09%E +1.88%K +2.17%G +0.305% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.84%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +14.09%E +1.88%K +2.17%G +0.305% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.84%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.38%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 21:19 |
| BetRivers | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -9.78%E -6.48%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 21:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.78%E -6.48%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| 1xBet | 6.71I 14.90%NM 13.93%EV +2.07%E +0.309%K +0.363%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.31%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.75%EV -9.10%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 21:50 |
| BetUS | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.48%EV -0.513%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.41%EV -2.84%E -0.733%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Everygame | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-07 21:04 |
| Suprabets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 21:51 |
| Betsson | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.98%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.19%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.98%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.19%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 21:49 |
| Bovada | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -4.92%E -0.788%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.43%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 21:52 |
| GTbets | 6.24I 16.03%NM 14.94%EV -5.08%E -0.814%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.74%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.32%EV -7.85%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 20:40 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.65%EV -13.96%E -9.70%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -17.37%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-07 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.94%EV -9.64%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.00%E -3.15%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.52%EV -3.35%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Neds | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.13%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -14.11%E -4.11%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.55%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.84%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%EV -19.38%E -3.66%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.63%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.08% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.75% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 21:40 |