La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Deportivo La Guaira v Fluminense-RJ
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportivo La Guaira (Local)
Predicción 15.21%6.57momio equitativo
EV +14.09%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.305%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.94%15.11%15.27%16.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.366.387.5018.87%15.71%15.69%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fluminense-RJ (Visitante)
Predicción 59.75%1.67momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -7.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.27%59.85%59.67%62.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.17%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.04%3.99momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -0.733%
Kelly -0.988%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.39%25.04%25.06%26.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.663.703.8830.30%27.35%27.03%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +14.09%E +1.88%K +2.17%G +0.305% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.84%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.94%EV +14.09%E +1.88%K +2.17%G +0.305% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.84%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.38%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 21:19 |
| BetRivers | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -9.78%E -6.48%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.60%E -0.934%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 21:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.78%E -6.48%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +6.48%E +0.926%K +1.08%G +0.070% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.63%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| 1xBet | 6.71I 14.90%NM 13.93%EV +2.07%E +0.309%K +0.363%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.31%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.75%EV -9.10%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 21:50 |
| BetUS | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.48%EV -0.513%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.41%EV -2.84%E -0.733%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Everygame | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-07 21:04 |
| Suprabets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 21:51 |
| Betsson | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.64%E -0.413%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.98%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.19%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.98%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.19%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.40%E -0.536%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 21:49 |
| Bovada | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -4.92%E -0.788%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.43%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 21:52 |
| GTbets | 6.24I 16.03%NM 14.94%EV -5.08%E -0.814%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.74%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.32%EV -7.85%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 20:40 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -8.73%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.65%EV -13.96%E -9.70%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -17.37%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-07 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.94%EV -9.64%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.00%E -3.15%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.52%EV -3.35%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Neds | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 21:54 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.53%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.13%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -14.11%E -4.11%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.55%EV -14.81%E -2.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.84%EV -11.57%E -7.82%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-07 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%EV -19.38%E -3.66%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.63%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 21:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.08% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.75% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 21:40 |