Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Tolima v Coquimbo Unido

Kickoff: 2026-04-29 02:00 UTC

Final: Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Tolima (Local)

Prediction 47.14%2.12fair odd
EV -0.072%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.89%47.15%47.14%48.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.971.962.1255.56%50.83%51.02%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 23.57%4.24fair odd
EV -0.753%
Edge -0.179%
Kelly -0.234%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.46%23.61%24.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.903.904.2129.41%25.61%25.64%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.29%3.41fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.52%29.38%29.25%30.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.153.3035.71%32.00%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Tolima (Local): 47.14%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 23.57%; Draw: 29.29%. For Deportes Tolima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.122. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.120, with an expected value of -0.072%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.10%EV -0.072%E -0.034%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%EV -3.35%E -0.816%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.10%EV -0.072%E -0.034%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%EV -3.35%E -0.816%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 00:00
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:59
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -5.70%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 00:00
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.77%EV -0.753%E -0.179%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.31%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 17:01
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.35%E -0.816%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 08:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.70%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 03:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 15:49
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 15:40
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.45%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -9.24%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -0.988%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.47%EV -5.98%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 15:50
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.83%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.09%EV -3.82%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.08%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -0.988%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.98%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -0.988%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.98%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:44
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -0.988%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.98%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.87%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.35%E -0.816%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -6.86%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 07:29
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 02:04
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:04
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 15:43
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 15:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 15:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 15:40
Suprabets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -9.50%E -4.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.70%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:52
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 08:34
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -17.49%E -5.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -17.99%E -6.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-19 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.53%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -10.89%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 15:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -12.33%E -6.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -16.31%E -4.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-21 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.11%EV -14.21%E -7.81%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -15.13%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -13.59%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 02:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.74%EV -15.16%E -8.42%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.74%EV -19.85%E -5.84%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.52%EV -13.59%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-21 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 46.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%13.3%2026-04-22 02:05