L’École des cotes

Deportes Tolima v Coquimbo Unido

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-29 02:00 UTC

Score final : Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Tolima (Local)

Prévision 47.14%2.12cote équitable
EV -0.072%
Avantage -0.034%
Kelly -0.064%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.89%47.15%47.14%48.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.971.962.1255.56%50.83%51.02%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.57%4.24cote équitable
EV -0.753%
Avantage -0.179%
Kelly -0.234%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.47%23.46%23.61%24.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.903.904.2129.41%25.61%25.64%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.29%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.52%29.38%29.25%30.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.153.3035.71%32.00%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 46.10%EV -0.072%E -0.034%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%EV -3.35%E -0.816%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 00:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.10%EV -0.072%E -0.034%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%EV -3.35%E -0.816%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 00:00
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:59
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -5.70%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 00:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.77%EV -0.753%E -0.179%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.31%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 17:01
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.35%E -0.816%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 08:44
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 15:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:09
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.70%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 03:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 15:49
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 15:40
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:40
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.45%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -9.24%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 02:05
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -0.988%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.47%EV -5.98%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 15:50
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.83%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.09%EV -3.82%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.08%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:15
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 00:00
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 00:00
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -0.988%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.98%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -0.988%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.98%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:44
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -0.988%E -0.235%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.98%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:49
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.87%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.35%E -0.816%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -6.86%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 07:29
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:45
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 02:04
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.42%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:04
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 15:43
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 15:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 15:40
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 15:40
Suprabets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -9.50%E -4.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -5.70%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 12:52
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 08:34
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.60%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -17.49%E -5.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -17.99%E -6.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-19 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.53%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -10.89%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 15:51
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -12.33%E -6.63%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -16.31%E -4.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-21 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.11%EV -14.21%E -7.81%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -15.13%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -13.59%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 02:04
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.74%EV -15.16%E -8.42%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.74%EV -19.85%E -5.84%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.52%EV -13.59%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-21 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 46.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%13.3%2026-04-22 02:05