Language:English
Club Guaraní v CA Juventud
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Club Guaraní (Local)
Prediction 52.02%1.92fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.00%52.03%52.02%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8559.88%56.79%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CA Juventud (Visit)
Prediction 20.22%4.95fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.216%
Kelly +0.270%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.61%20.17%20.27%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.674.755.0024.39%21.39%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.088%
Kelly -0.122%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%27.80%27.70%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.353.5934.72%30.05%29.85%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Guaraní (Local): 52.02%; CA Juventud (Visit): 20.22%; Draw: 27.77%. For CA Juventud (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV +1.08%E +0.216%K +0.270%G +0.003% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV +1.08%E +0.216%K +0.270%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.10%EV -0.133%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.28%EV -3.93%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 21:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.10%EV -0.133%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.28%EV -3.93%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 21:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.61%EV -2.15%E -0.445%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -2.96%E -0.617%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 21:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.10%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -2.96%E -0.617%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -2.96%E -0.617%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.50%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.05%EV -0.317%E -0.088%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-26 21:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-26 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-26 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 19.98%EV -4.58%E -0.970%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.91%EV -6.15%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -4.98%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -8.92%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -4.98%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-26 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -20.03%E -6.96%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -10.04%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 21:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -10.04%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-26 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-26 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-26 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-26 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -12.46%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -13.07%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-26 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -14.08%E -3.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.18%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-26 21:33 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.35%EV -12.09%E -7.15%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -15.09%E -3.59%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-26 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.10%EV -10.53%E -6.12%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.11%E -4.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-26 21:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.6% | 2026-02-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.6% | 2026-02-26 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.85% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.34% | 2.3% | 2026-02-26 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.86% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 21:45 |