La scuola delle quote

Club Guaraní v CA Juventud

Inizio: 2026-02-26 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Club Guaraní (Casa)

Previsione 52.02%1.92quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -2.04%
Kelly -4.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.00%52.03%52.02%53.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.761.771.8559.88%56.79%56.50%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CA Juventud (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.22%4.95quota equa
EV +1.08%
Vantaggio +0.216%
Kelly +0.270%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.61%20.17%20.27%21.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.674.755.0024.39%21.39%21.05%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.77%3.60quota equa
EV -0.317%
Vantaggio -0.088%
Kelly -0.122%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.05%27.80%27.70%29.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.333.353.5934.72%30.05%29.85%27.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV +1.08%E +0.216%K +0.270%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 21:15
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV +1.08%E +0.216%K +0.270%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 21:15
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.10%EV -0.133%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.28%EV -3.93%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 21:38
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.62%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.10%EV -0.133%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.28%EV -3.93%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 21:34
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 21:19
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 21:19
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 21:19
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 21:19
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 21:20
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 21:20
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 21:19
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -0.942%E -0.192%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 21:15
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.61%EV -2.15%E -0.445%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 21:49
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -2.96%E -0.617%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 21:54
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.10%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -2.96%E -0.617%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 21:35
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -2.96%E -0.617%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 21:15
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.50%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.05%EV -0.317%E -0.088%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 21:49
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 21:14
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 21:55
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 21:55
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -3.97%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 21:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 19.98%EV -4.58%E -0.970%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.91%EV -6.15%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 21:45
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.05%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -4.98%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -8.92%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 21:45
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -11.57%E -6.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -4.98%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-26 21:15
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -7.01%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -20.03%E -6.96%K -10.65%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-26 21:15
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -10.04%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 21:09
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -10.04%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 21:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 21:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 21:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.05%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 21:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -12.46%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 21:45
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -13.07%E -3.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 21:20
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -11.05%E -6.46%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -14.08%E -3.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.04%EV -13.09%E -4.18%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-26 21:33
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.35%EV -12.09%E -7.15%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -15.09%E -3.59%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-26 21:34
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.10%EV -10.53%E -6.12%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.11%E -4.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-26 21:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.6%2026-02-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.6%2026-02-26 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.85%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.34%2.3%2026-02-26 21:55
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.86%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%5.7%2026-02-26 21:45