The School of Odds
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Club Always Ready v LDU Quito

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Always Ready (Local)

Prediction 43.73%2.29fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.82%43.67%46.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.122.2050.00%47.55%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LDU Quito (Visit)

Prediction 29.04%3.44fair odd
EV -0.402%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.165%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.25%29.01%29.08%29.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.203.203.4333.90%31.27%31.25%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV +0.757%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.281%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%27.16%27.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.453.7033.33%29.24%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Always Ready (Local): 43.73%; LDU Quito (Visit): 29.04%; Draw: 27.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.757%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.22%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +0.757%E +0.205%K +0.281%G +0.002%2.8%2026-04-07 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.22%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +0.757%E +0.205%K +0.281%G +0.002%2.8%2026-04-07 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.13%EV -7.73%E -3.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.34%EV -2.43%E -0.725%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.53%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:45
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -12.10%E -6.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.25%EV -0.402%E -0.117%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.25%EV -3.05%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.72%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.72%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:45
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.72%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:45
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:35
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 23:45
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.33%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.40%EV -3.02%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.26%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:50
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 11:45
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 23:54
Suprabets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.92%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -6.21%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 23:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 23:49
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-07 23:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -9.91%E -4.81%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -9.91%E -4.81%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 23:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -9.91%E -4.81%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 23:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 23:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 23:45
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 23:50
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -4.76%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.96%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 23:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 23:35
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 23:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 23:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -14.34%E -4.86%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-07 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-07 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-07 23:24
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-07 23:24
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-07 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-07 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-07 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-07 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-07 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-07 23:50
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.3%2026-04-07 23:50