La escuela de los momios

Club Always Ready v LDU Quito

Inicio: 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Always Ready (Local)

Predicción 43.73%2.29momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%43.82%43.67%46.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.122.2050.00%47.55%47.17%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LDU Quito (Visitante)

Predicción 29.04%3.44momio equitativo
EV -0.402%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.25%29.01%29.08%29.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.203.203.4333.90%31.27%31.25%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV +0.757%
Ventaja +0.205%
Kelly +0.281%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.25%27.16%27.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.453.7033.33%29.24%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.22%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +0.757%E +0.205%K +0.281%G +0.002%2.8%2026-04-07 23:35
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.22%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +0.757%E +0.205%K +0.281%G +0.002%2.8%2026-04-07 23:35
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.13%EV -7.73%E -3.66%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.34%EV -2.43%E -0.725%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.53%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:45
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -12.10%E -6.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.25%EV -0.402%E -0.117%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.25%EV -3.05%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 23:50
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.72%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.72%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:45
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.72%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:45
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:35
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:35
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:35
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 23:34
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 23:45
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.33%EV -6.42%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.40%EV -3.02%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.26%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:50
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 11:45
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 23:54
Suprabets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.92%EV -6.85%E -3.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -6.21%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 23:54
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 23:49
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 23:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-07 23:34
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -9.91%E -4.81%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 23:35
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -9.91%E -4.81%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 23:35
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -9.91%E -4.81%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 23:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 23:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 23:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 23:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 23:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 23:50
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -4.76%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.96%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 23:55
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 23:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 23:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 23:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 23:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.17%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 23:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 23:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -14.34%E -4.86%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-07 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-07 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-07 23:24
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-07 23:24
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-07 23:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-07 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-07 23:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-07 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-07 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-04-07 23:50
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.3%2026-04-07 23:50