La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Club Always Ready v Lanus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Club Always Ready (Local)
Predicción 50.40%1.98momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.76%50.76%50.05%55.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.821.831.9258.48%54.92%54.64%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lanus (Visitante)
Predicción 21.91%4.56momio equitativo
EV +6.25%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.101%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.64%21.75%22.28%23.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.264.304.8525.97%23.49%23.26%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.69%3.61momio equitativo
EV +6.61%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +2.32%
Crecimiento +0.153%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.16%27.50%27.67%28.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.423.403.8531.25%29.21%29.41%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.39%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%EV +0.770%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%EV +6.61%E +1.72%K +2.32%G +0.153% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.39%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%EV +0.770%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%EV +6.61%E +1.72%K +2.32%G +0.153% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.18%EV -13.81%E -8.08%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV +5.15%E +1.07%K +1.36%G +0.070% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.84%E +1.02%K +1.40%G +0.054% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV +2.46%E +0.664%K +0.910%G +0.022% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV +2.46%E +0.664%K +0.910%G +0.022% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV +2.46%E +0.664%K +0.910%G +0.022% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV +2.46%E +0.664%K +0.910%G +0.022% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -11.80%E -6.74%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +1.07%E +0.294%K +0.405%G +0.004% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -13.81%E -8.08%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -1.70%E -0.478%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -13.81%E -8.08%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -1.70%E -0.478%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -13.81%E -8.08%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -1.70%E -0.478%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.53%EV -3.23%E -1.68%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.54%EV -11.50%E -2.85%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.94%EV -2.25%E -0.637%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 00:18 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -7.26%E -3.95%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -13.47%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.19%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -5.30%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 00:23 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.34%EV -8.27%E -4.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV +6.25%E +1.29%K +1.62%G +0.101% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.75%E -3.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 00:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -8.27%E -4.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.42%E -0.316%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.17%EV -1.64%E -0.365%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -6.96%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -9.09%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -9.09%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -8.27%E -4.54%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -1.42%E -0.316%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -8.06%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 00:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -4.24%E -2.23%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -1.42%E -0.316%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 00:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -15.66%E -4.07%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -6.25%E -3.36%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%EV -9.17%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 00:16 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.44%EV -7.26%E -3.95%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.82%EV -9.45%E -2.89%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 00:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.80%E -6.74%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-06 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -10.28%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |