مدرسة الاحتمالات

Club Always Ready v Lanus

البداية: 2026-05-06 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Club Always Ready 4–0 Lanus

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Club Always Ready (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.40%1.98السعر العادل
EV -3.23%
الأفضلية -1.68%
Kelly -3.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.76%50.76%50.05%55.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.821.831.9258.48%54.92%54.64%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lanus (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.91%4.56السعر العادل
EV +6.25%
الأفضلية +1.29%
Kelly +1.62%
النمو +0.101%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.64%21.75%22.28%23.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.854.264.304.8525.97%23.49%23.26%20.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.69%3.61السعر العادل
EV +6.61%
الأفضلية +1.72%
Kelly +2.32%
النمو +0.153%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.16%27.50%27.67%28.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.423.403.8531.25%29.21%29.41%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.39%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%EV +0.770%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%EV +6.61%E +1.72%K +2.32%G +0.153%2.4%2026-05-06 00:19
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.39%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%EV +0.770%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%EV +6.61%E +1.72%K +2.32%G +0.153%2.4%2026-05-06 00:19
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.18%EV -13.81%E -8.08%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV +5.15%E +1.07%K +1.36%G +0.070%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV +3.84%E +1.02%K +1.40%G +0.054%6.0%2026-05-06 00:04
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV +2.46%E +0.664%K +0.910%G +0.022%6.6%2026-05-06 00:20
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV +2.46%E +0.664%K +0.910%G +0.022%6.6%2026-05-06 00:20
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV +2.46%E +0.664%K +0.910%G +0.022%6.6%2026-05-06 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV +2.46%E +0.664%K +0.910%G +0.022%6.6%2026-05-06 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -11.80%E -6.74%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +1.07%E +0.294%K +0.405%G +0.004%7.3%2026-05-06 00:24
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -13.81%E -8.08%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -1.70%E -0.478%K -0.665%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 00:24
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -13.81%E -8.08%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -1.70%E -0.478%K -0.665%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 00:24
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -13.81%E -8.08%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -1.70%E -0.478%K -0.665%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 00:25
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.53%EV -3.23%E -1.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.54%EV -11.50%E -2.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.94%EV -2.25%E -0.637%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:24
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:04
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -0.325%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.08%E -0.880%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:24
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 00:18
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -7.26%E -3.95%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -13.47%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 00:19
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.19%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -5.30%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 00:23
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.34%EV -8.27%E -4.54%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV +6.25%E +1.29%K +1.62%G +0.101%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 00:09
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.75%E -3.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 00:19
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 00:14
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -8.27%E -4.54%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.42%E -0.316%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 00:19
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.17%EV -1.64%E -0.365%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -6.96%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 00:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -9.09%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 00:24
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -5.24%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -9.09%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 00:24
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -8.27%E -4.54%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -1.42%E -0.316%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -8.06%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 00:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 00:14
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -4.24%E -2.23%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 00:24
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -1.42%E -0.316%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 00:09
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 00:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 00:15
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 00:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 00:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 00:14
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -15.66%E -4.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-06 00:20
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.26%EV -6.25%E -3.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%EV -9.17%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 00:16
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.44%EV -7.26%E -3.95%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.82%EV -9.45%E -2.89%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 00:18
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.80%E -6.74%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-06 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 00:15
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 00:15
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.76%E -4.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 00:15
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -10.28%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-06 00:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.5%2026-05-06 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.5%2026-05-06 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.5%2026-05-06 00:20
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-05-06 00:19