Language:English
Barcelona SC v Cruzeiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barcelona SC (Local)
Prediction 28.68%3.49fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.555%
Kelly -0.785%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.56%28.66%28.66%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.243.4232.79%30.92%30.86%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruzeiro (Visit)
Prediction 39.69%2.52fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.58%39.66%39.76%40.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4546.51%42.84%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.87%31.68%31.58%32.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.853.0536.36%34.65%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barcelona SC (Local): 28.68%; Cruzeiro (Visit): 39.69%; Draw: 31.62%. For Barcelona SC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -1.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.56%EV -1.90%E -0.555%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -6.33%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -3.05%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -8.31%E -3.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.98%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -3.33%E -0.989%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -7.06%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.55%EV -6.33%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -14.66%E -6.82%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.51%E -4.10%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -11.88%E -5.35%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.69%EV -12.40%E -4.48%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -12.51%E -4.10%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.