La scuola delle quote

Barcelona SC v Cruzeiro

Inizio: 2026-04-08 00:01 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona SC (Casa)

Previsione 28.68%3.49quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -0.555%
Kelly -0.785%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.56%28.66%28.66%29.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.233.243.4232.79%30.92%30.86%29.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruzeiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.69%2.52quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.58%39.66%39.76%40.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.332.352.4546.51%42.84%42.55%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.62%3.16quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.87%31.68%31.58%32.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.892.853.0536.36%34.65%35.09%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 27.56%EV -1.90%E -0.555%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -6.33%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:59
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -3.05%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -8.31%E -3.60%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.98%E -2.74%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 23:59
Suprabets3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -3.33%E -0.989%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 23:59
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.44%EV -8.31%E -3.60%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 23:59
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 23:59
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:59
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 00:00
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-08 00:00
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 00:00
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 23:59
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 23:59
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 23:59
GTbets3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -7.06%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.55%EV -6.33%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 23:59
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 23:59
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 23:59
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 23:59
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 00:00
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 23:59
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 00:00
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 00:00
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 00:00
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -14.66%E -6.82%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-08 00:00
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.51%E -4.10%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -11.88%E -5.35%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.69%EV -12.40%E -4.48%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-07 23:55
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -12.51%E -4.10%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-07 23:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.