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Seattle Sounders FC v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Sounders FC (Local)
Prediction 57.06%1.75fair odd
EV -0.720%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.973%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.00%56.94%57.20%59.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.651.7464.52%60.65%60.61%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 20.20%4.95fair odd
EV +6.04%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.33%20.25%20.11%23.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.514.355.2525.00%22.17%22.99%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.74%4.40fair odd
EV +0.074%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.022%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.88%22.80%22.69%24.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.004.4027.03%24.84%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 57.06%; Querétaro (Visit): 20.20%; Draw: 22.74%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.79%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV +6.04%E +1.15%K +1.42%G +0.086% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV +0.074%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 19:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.56%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.44%EV +5.03%E +0.968%K +1.20%G +0.060% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.99%EV -0.836%E -0.192%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.23%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV +5.03%E +0.968%K +1.20%G +0.060% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.44%EV -3.34%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -9.28%E -5.84%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +0.992%E +0.198%K +0.248%G +0.002% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.47%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.68%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -0.018%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.20%E -0.512%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.05%E -0.635%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.47%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.42%E -6.64%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -3.05%E -0.635%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.17%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.47%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.76%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.61%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.76%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.61%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -12.44%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 19:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.42%E -6.64%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.42%E -6.64%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.42%E -6.64%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 19:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -7.09%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.10%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.65%EV -7.29%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.25%EV -3.11%E -0.730%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -12.14%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 19:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -15.85%E -4.28%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -13.15%E -3.06%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -14.16%E -3.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.86%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -4.47%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.99%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.71%E -3.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 19:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.71%E -3.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.71%E -3.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.71%E -3.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -0.720%E -0.414%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -19.21%E -4.80%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -12.44%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.15% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 19:25 |