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Seattle Sounders FC v Querétaro

2026-08-09 19:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Prediction 51.04%1.96fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -5.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.31%51.10%50.99%52.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.801.8757.14%55.83%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Querétaro (Visit)

Prediction 24.18%4.14fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.355%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.10%24.33%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.704.0928.57%26.43%27.03%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.78%4.04fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.861%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%24.80%24.69%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.733.9029.41%27.17%26.85%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 51.04%; Querétaro (Visit): 24.18%; Draw: 24.78%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.09, with an expected value of -1.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -6.90%E -1.79%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -4.60%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 10:50
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.11%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.36%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 08:39
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.11%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 10:55
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.11%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.09%EV -1.10%E -0.268%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.46%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.27%E -0.818%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 12:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.27%E -0.818%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 08:39
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 12:40
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 12:40
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.30%EV -9.15%E -5.14%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.45%EV -4.00%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.25%EV -4.84%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.77%EV -9.15%E -5.14%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -3.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -9.66%E -5.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.27%E -0.818%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.07%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -9.66%E -5.46%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.27%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -10.17%E -5.78%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.36%E -4.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 10:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.68%E -6.10%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 10:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.68%E -6.10%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 10:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.68%E -6.10%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.68%E -6.10%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.53%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%11.0%2026-08-07 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 47.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.95%2.74I 36.50%NM 30.84%18.3%2026-08-07 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 47.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.95%2.74I 36.50%NM 30.84%18.3%2026-08-07 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 47.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.95%2.74I 36.50%NM 30.84%18.3%2026-08-07 11:55