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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Seattle Sounders FC v Querétaro

2026-08-09 19:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Sounders FC (主队)

预测 51.20%1.95公平赔率
EV -4.26%
优势 -2.28%
Kelly -4.90%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
50.31%51.30%51.10%53.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.781.781.8758.82%56.14%56.18%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Querétaro (客队)

预测 24.02%4.16公平赔率
EV +3.30%
优势 +0.767%
Kelly +0.999%
增长率 +0.033%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
21.65%23.87%24.19%25.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.863.804.3028.57%25.91%26.32%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.78%4.04公平赔率
EV -4.35%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.86

博彩公司预测分布
23.78%24.82%24.72%25.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.683.703.8629.41%27.21%27.03%25.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Seattle Sounders FC (主队)：51.20%；Querétaro (客队)：24.02%；平局：24.78%。 对于“Querétaro (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.16。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.30，由此产生+3.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -10.92%E -6.27%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +3.30%E +0.767%K +0.999%G +0.033%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -11.94%E -6.94%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +2.10%E +0.493%K +0.645%G +0.014%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -12.96%E -7.63%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV +0.896%E +0.213%K +0.280%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -7.84%E -4.36%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.09%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.46%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:00
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -9.38%E -5.30%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 11:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.84%E -4.36%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 12:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.84%E -4.36%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 11:05
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.30%EV -8.87%E -4.98%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.45%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.25%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 11:50
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.31%E -3.45%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 13:34
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.26%E -2.28%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -4.60%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.31%E -3.45%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.82%E -3.75%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 10:55
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.82%E -3.75%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 10:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.84%E -4.36%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.12%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 12:40
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.84%E -4.36%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.12%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -9.38%E -5.30%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.12%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -13.27%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 12:44
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.40%E -5.94%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.12%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 10:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.40%E -5.94%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.12%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 10:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.40%E -5.94%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.12%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.40%E -5.94%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.12%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.77%EV -8.87%E -4.98%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.54%EV -9.89%E -5.62%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 10:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%11.0%2026-08-07 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 47.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 30.93%18.0%2026-08-07 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 47.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 30.93%18.0%2026-08-07 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 47.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.73%2.74I 36.50%NM 30.93%18.0%2026-08-07 13:35