Language:English
Orlando City SC v León
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orlando City SC (Local)
Prediction 41.80%2.39fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.37%41.93%41.82%44.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.3048.78%46.15%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
León (Visit)
Prediction 33.25%3.01fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +0.996%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.28%33.11%33.20%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.882.873.1038.46%34.68%34.84%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.94%4.01fair odd
EV -0.235%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.078%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.92%24.96%24.99%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.734.0029.41%27.03%26.85%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando City SC (Local): 41.80%; León (Visit): 33.25%; Draw: 24.94%. For León (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -12.21%E -5.81%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +3.09%E +0.996%K +1.47%G +0.045% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -12.21%E -5.81%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -0.238%E -0.079%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -8.45%E -3.86%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.75%EV -0.570%E -0.191%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.91%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.42%EV -5.10%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.48%E -0.375%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -3.90%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.49%EV -1.98%E -0.504%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -3.90%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.49%EV -1.98%E -0.504%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.23%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -0.235%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.23%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.85%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.87%E -4.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -7.55%E -2.72%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -7.55%E -2.72%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -3.85%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -11.88%E -4.48%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -11.88%E -4.48%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%EV -13.54%E -5.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -8.96%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |