Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC v León

2026-08-08 22:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC (Local)

Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.59%38.80%38.73%40.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.49%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

León (Visit)

Prediction 36.45%2.74fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.90%36.41%36.45%37.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.502.502.6040.82%40.01%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.79%24.82%25.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.703.8529.41%27.40%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Orlando City SC (Local): 38.69%; León (Visit): 36.45%; Draw: 24.87%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -4.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.24%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 11:30
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -8.15%E -3.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 11:30
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -8.15%E -3.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 11:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.06%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 11:40
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-06 11:30
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-06 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-06 11:38
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -15.45%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-06 12:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -15.45%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-06 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -15.45%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-06 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -15.45%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-06 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -8.88%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.25%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-06 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 46.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 26.72%1.76I 56.82%NM 26.72%112.6%2026-08-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 46.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 26.72%1.76I 56.82%NM 26.72%112.6%2026-08-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 46.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 26.79%1.75I 57.14%NM 26.79%113.3%2026-08-06 12:50