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Orlando City SC v León
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Orlando City SC (Local)
Predicción 41.80%2.39momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -2.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.37%41.93%41.82%44.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.152.3048.78%46.15%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
León (Visitante)
Predicción 33.25%3.01momio equitativo
EV +3.09%
Ventaja +0.996%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.28%33.11%33.20%34.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.882.873.1038.46%34.68%34.84%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.235%
Ventaja -0.059%
Kelly -0.078%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.92%24.96%24.99%26.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.703.734.0029.41%27.03%26.85%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Orlando City SC (Local): 41.80%; León (Visitante): 33.25%; Empate: 24.94%. Para León (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.01. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -12.21%E -5.81%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +3.09%E +0.996%K +1.47%G +0.045% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -11.37%E -5.37%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.42%E +0.467%K +0.695%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -12.21%E -5.81%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -0.238%E -0.079%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -8.45%E -3.86%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.75%EV -0.570%E -0.191%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.91%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.42%EV -5.10%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.48%E -0.375%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.56%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -3.90%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.49%EV -1.98%E -0.504%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -3.90%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.49%EV -1.98%E -0.504%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.23%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -0.235%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.23%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.85%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.22%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.87%E -4.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -7.55%E -2.72%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.69%E -2.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -7.55%E -2.72%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -3.85%E -1.67%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.94%E -2.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -14.30%E -6.98%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.21%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -11.88%E -4.48%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.03%E -3.65%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -11.88%E -4.48%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -10.12%E -4.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%EV -13.54%E -5.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -8.96%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 22:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 22:25 |